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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juticalpa v CD Motagua: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
0–3
FT
Juticalpa 12%Draw 20%CD Motagua 68% Expected goals 0.71 – 2.13
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Motagua to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Juticalpa vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Juticalpa v CD Motagua in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. In the table, Juticalpa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juticalpa, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lobos Upnfm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

CD Motagua, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Verdes, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Juticalpa.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended CD Motagua 2–1 Juticalpa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Juticalpa 0 wins, CD Motagua 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 0.7 xG, CD Motagua 2.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 12%, draw 20%, CD Motagua 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 0–2 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juticalpa12%fair 8.36 · @6.40
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.10
CD Motagua68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
2.84Expected goals
0.71Juticalpa xG
2.13CD Motagua xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–112%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Juticalpa 0.7 – 2.1 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Motagua to win ✓68%1.471.44
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓88%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.70
Draw no betCD Motagua (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapCD Motagua -1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreCD Motagua to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultCD Motagua ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Juticalpa – last 6

WLLDLD
27 Aprvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
22 Apr@ Victoria1–2L
20 Apr@ CD Motagua1–2L
16 Aprvs Platense FC1–1D
9 Aprvs Olancho0–4L
7 Apr@ Real Espana1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CD Motagua – last 6

WDWWLD
29 Jul@ Verdes5–0W
22 May@ CD Marathon1–1D
19 Mayvs Génesis2–1W
13 May@ Olancho2–0W
10 Mayvs Olancho1–2L
4 May@ Génesis1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026CD Motagua v Juticalpa2–1
26 Feb 2026Juticalpa v CD Motagua1–2
Juticalpa vs CD Motagua head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?

On our numbers Juticalpa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CD Motagua 68%.

How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?

Our predicted score is Juticalpa 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?

Juticalpa vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.