Value bet: CD Marathon to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Platense FC vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Platense FC welcome CD Marathon to Estadio Excelsior for a Liga Nacional fixture on Saturday 8 August (22:00 WAT). In the table, Platense FC are 11th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Platense FC, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Espana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
CD Marathon, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Independiente, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CD Marathon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Platense FC.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended CD Marathon 2–2 Platense FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Platense FC 0.9 xG, CD Marathon 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Platense FC 26%, draw 24%, CD Marathon 50%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: CD Marathon to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense FC 0–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Platense FC26%fair 3.82 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
CD Marathon50%fair 2.02 · @2.25
2.55Expected goals
0.94Platense FC xG
1.61CD Marathon xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Platense FC 0.9 – 1.6 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Platense FC have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CD Marathon 50%.
How many goals will there be in Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Platense FC 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Platense FC vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Excelsior.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
