Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✗46% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.10
Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olancho travel to face Lobos Upnfm on Sunday 9 August in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CD Olimpia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Olancho, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estrella Roja, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Olancho, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Lobos Upnfm.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 2–1 Olancho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.0 xG, Olancho 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 29%, draw 25%, Olancho 46%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 0–1 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos Upnfm29%fair 3.48 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.45
Olancho46%fair 2.17 · @1.95
2.11Expected goals
0.98Lobos Upnfm xG
1.14Olancho xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.0 – 1.1 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olancho 46%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 0–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
