Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.38
CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:15 WAT, Monday 10 August: CD Motagua v Estrella Roja in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FAS, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.8 xG, Estrella Roja 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 66%, draw 20%, Estrella Roja 14%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Estrella Roja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua66%fair 1.51 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @5.00
Estrella Roja14%fair 7.09 · @8.80
2.55Expected goals
1.84CD Motagua xG
0.71Estrella Roja xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.8 – 0.7 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✗
66%
1.51
1.28
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.67
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
CD Motagua -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
CD Motagua – last 6
WWWDWW
7 Aug
vs FAS
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Juticalpa
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Verdes
5–0
W
22 May
@ CD Marathon
1–1
D
19 May
vs Génesis
2–1
W
13 May
@ Olancho
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja – last 1
L
3 Aug
vs Olancho
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Estrella Roja 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
