Value bet: CD Marathon to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Marathon travel to face Atlético Choloma on Sunday 16 August in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Ruben Deras the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético Choloma, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Independiente, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
CD Marathon, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Antigua GFC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended CD Marathon 0–1 Atlético Choloma. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atlético Choloma 1 win, CD Marathon 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 0.6 xG, CD Marathon 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 12%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 65%.
Lower-risk option: CD Marathon or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: CD Marathon to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 0–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma12%fair 8.33 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.45
CD Marathon65%fair 1.53 · @1.70
2.30Expected goals
0.58Atlético Choloma xG
1.72CD Marathon xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 0.6 – 1.7 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Marathon 65%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon?
Atlético Choloma vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
