Value bet: CD Olimpia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the Liga Nacional brings CD Olimpia against CD Motagua at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
CD Olimpia, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Juticalpa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
CD Motagua, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CS Cartagines, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended CD Motagua 0–1 CD Olimpia. The last 2 head-to-heads: CD Olimpia 1 win, CD Motagua 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Olimpia 1.8 xG, CD Motagua 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Olimpia 58%, draw 24%, CD Motagua 18%.
Lower-risk option: CD Olimpia or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: CD Olimpia to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Olimpia 2–0 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Olimpia58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
CD Motagua18%fair 5.59 · @3.80
2.66Expected goals
1.78CD Olimpia xG
0.88CD Motagua xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 1.8 – 0.9 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CD Motagua 18%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 2–0 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
