CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Motagua welcome Lobos Upnfm to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles for a Liga Nacional fixture on Saturday 22 August (02:00 WAT). In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CD Olimpia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Estrella Roja, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Lobos Upnfm.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 2–1 CD Motagua. The last 2 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 1 win, Lobos Upnfm 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 2.0 xG, Lobos Upnfm 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 67%, draw 19%, Lobos Upnfm 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 2–0 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua67%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.95
Lobos Upnfm14%fair 7.13 · @5.50
2.80Expected goals
2.03CD Motagua xG
0.77Lobos Upnfm xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.0 – 0.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lobos Upnfm 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
