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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olancho v CD Olimpia: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas

Olancho

WDWLW
1–1
FT
Olancho 35%Draw 22%CD Olimpia 43% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.32
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds
1

Value bet: Olancho to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCD Olimpia to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.04

Olancho vs CD Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 24 August the Liga Nacional brings Olancho against CD Olimpia at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; CD Olimpia are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Olancho, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juticalpa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

CD Olimpia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Alianza FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours CD Olimpia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Olancho.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended CD Olimpia 0–0 Olancho.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.2 xG, CD Olimpia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 35%, draw 22%, CD Olimpia 43%.
  • Price worth noting: Olancho to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–1 CD Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olancho35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
CD Olimpia43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
2.48Expected goals
1.16Olancho xG
1.32CD Olimpia xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Olancho 1.2 – 1.3 CD Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Olimpia to win ✗43%2.332.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betCD Olimpia (draw no bet)55%1.83–
Asian handicapOlancho +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCD Olimpia to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.04–

Recent results

Olancho – last 6

WDWLWL
17 Augvs Juticalpa1–0W
9 Aug@ Lobos Upnfm1–1D
3 Aug@ Estrella Roja1–0W
13 Mayvs CD Motagua0–2L
10 May@ CD Motagua2–1W
7 Mayvs Génesis1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CD Olimpia – last 6

WWWWWW
21 Aug@ Alianza FC3–1W
17 Augvs CD Motagua3–1W
9 Aug@ Juticalpa3–1W
6 Aug@ UMECIT2–1W
3 Augvs Lobos Upnfm2–0W
29 Julvs Mixco2–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026CD Olimpia v Olancho0–0
Olancho vs CD Olimpia head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

On our numbers Olancho have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Olimpia 43%.

How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Olancho vs CD Olimpia (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.