CD Motagua 59%Draw 21%Olancho 20%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.93
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16
CD Motagua vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Motagua welcome Olancho to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 30 August (02:30 WAT). In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Municipal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Olancho, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CD Olimpia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Olancho, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for CD Motagua.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Olancho 0–2 CD Motagua. The last 4 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 1 win, Olancho 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.8 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.8 xG, Olancho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 59%, draw 21%, Olancho 20%.
Lower-risk option: CD Motagua or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Olancho20%fair 5.03 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.81CD Motagua xG
0.93Olancho xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.8 – 0.9 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Olancho 20%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Olancho?
CD Motagua vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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