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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Espana v Atlético Choloma: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras
2–1
FT
Real Espana 66%Draw 19%Atlético Choloma 15% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.65
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Espana to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:15 WAT, Monday 31 August: Real Espana v Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional. In the table, Real Espana are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Real Espana, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CD Marathon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Atlético Choloma, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Platense FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Espana, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Atlético Choloma.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Atlético Choloma 3–2 Real Espana. The last 2 head-to-heads: Real Espana 1 win, Atlético Choloma 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Espana 1.8 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Espana 66%, draw 19%, Atlético Choloma 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Espana66%fair 1.52 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.90
Atlético Choloma15%fair 6.63 · @6.00
2.40Expected goals
1.75Real Espana xG
0.65Atlético Choloma xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Real Espana 1.8 – 0.7 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✓66%1.521.48
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.93
Draw no betReal Espana (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapReal Espana -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreReal Espana to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultReal Espana ahead at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✓40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.07–

Recent results

Real Espana – last 6

DDWWDL
23 Aug@ CD Marathon1–1D
16 Augvs Atletico Independiente1–1D
9 Augvs Génesis2–0W
1 Aug@ Platense FC3–0W
19 Mayvs CD Marathon1–1D
13 May@ CD Olimpia2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlético Choloma – last 6

WLLLWL
23 Augvs Platense FC2–0W
16 Augvs CD Marathon0–1L
10 Aug@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
1 Aug@ Génesis0–2L
1 May@ CD Marathon1–0W
19 Aprvs CD Olimpia1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Atlético Choloma v Real Espana3–2
15 Feb 2026Real Espana v Atlético Choloma2–1
Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

On our numbers Real Espana have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlético Choloma 15%.

How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.