SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Frauen Bundesliga brings SC Freiburg W against Mainz 05 W at Dreisamstadion. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, SC Freiburg W are 11th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Mainz 05 W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 0.
Current form
SC Freiburg W, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Bayern Munich W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Mainz 05 W, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Koln W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Mainz 05 W, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for SC Freiburg W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg W 2.3 xG, Mainz 05 W 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg W 69%, draw 21%, Mainz 05 W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Freiburg W to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg W 2–0 Mainz 05 W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Freiburg W69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @5.25
Mainz 05 W10%fair 10.26 · @9.50
3.08Expected goals
2.28SC Freiburg W xG
0.80Mainz 05 W xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg W 2.3 – 0.8 Mainz 05 W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg W to win✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
SC Freiburg W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg W (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
SC Freiburg W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
SC Freiburg W to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg W ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg W / FT SC Freiburg W✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
SC Freiburg W – last 6
LWDDLL
6 Sep
@ Bayern Munich W
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Union Berlin W
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Hamburger SV W
1–1
D
17 May
@ SGS Essen W
1–1
D
9 May
vs VfL Wolfsburg W
2–4
L
29 Mar
vs 1899 Hoffenheim W
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mainz 05 W – last 6
LLLWWW
5 Sep
vs FC Koln W
0–4
L
31 Aug
@ Bayern Munich W
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Werder Bremen W
1–2
L
17 May
@ Warbeyen W
5–0
W
10 May
vs Ingolstadt W
5–0
W
3 May
@ Wolfsburg II W
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg W and Mainz 05 W.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our pick is SC Freiburg W to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
On our numbers SC Freiburg W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mainz 05 W 10%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg W 2–0 Mainz 05 W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Dreisamstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
