Union Berlin W 64%Draw 21%RB Leipzig W 15%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.67
85%
Betarazi pick
Union Berlin W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Union Berlin W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Berlin W to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Berlin W or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Berlin W welcome RB Leipzig W to An der Alten Försterei for a Frauen Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Union Berlin W are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; RB Leipzig W are 9th (lower half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Berlin W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Koln W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
RB Leipzig W, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nürnberg W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours RB Leipzig W, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Union Berlin W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin W 1.7 xG, RB Leipzig W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin W 64%, draw 21%, RB Leipzig W 15%.
Lower-risk option: Union Berlin W or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Union Berlin W to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Berlin W or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin W 1–0 RB Leipzig W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Berlin W64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
RB Leipzig W15%fair 6.51 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.71Union Berlin W xG
0.67RB Leipzig W xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Union Berlin W 1.7 – 0.7 RB Leipzig W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Berlin W to win✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Union Berlin W or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Draw no bet
Union Berlin W (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Union Berlin W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Union Berlin W to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Union Berlin W ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Berlin W / FT Union Berlin W✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Union Berlin W – last 6
LLLLLL
12 Sep
@ FC Koln W
0–3
L
7 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ SC Freiburg W
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Bayern Munich W
1–4
L
17 May
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
2–4
L
10 May
vs 1899 Hoffenheim W
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig W – last 6
WDLLDL
12 Sep
vs Nürnberg W
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Hamburger SV W
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Werder Bremen W
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0–2
L
17 May
@ 1899 Hoffenheim W
0–0
D
11 May
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin W and RB Leipzig W.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
Our pick is Union Berlin W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
On our numbers Union Berlin W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and RB Leipzig W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin W 1–0 RB Leipzig W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at An der Alten Försterei.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
