RB Leipzig W 68%Draw 19%Mainz 05 W 13%Expected goals 2.27 – 0.89
68%
Betarazi pick
RB Leipzig W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultRB Leipzig W to win ✓68% · @1.45
Double chanceRB Leipzig W or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: RB Leipzig W v Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga, played at RB-Training Center Cottaweg. In the table, RB Leipzig W are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Mainz 05 W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 0.
Current form
RB Leipzig W, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Blau-Gelb Marburg W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mainz 05 W, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Ingolstadt W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours RB Leipzig W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Mainz 05 W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig W 2.3 xG, Mainz 05 W 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig W 68%, draw 19%, Mainz 05 W 13%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RB Leipzig W to win (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig W 2–0 Mainz 05 W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Leipzig W68%fair 1.47 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.20
Mainz 05 W13%fair 7.93 · @5.25
3.16Expected goals
2.27RB Leipzig W xG
0.89Mainz 05 W xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig W 2.3 – 0.9 Mainz 05 W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig W to win✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Double chance
RB Leipzig W or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
RB Leipzig W (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
RB Leipzig W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
RB Leipzig W to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
RB Leipzig W ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig W / FT RB Leipzig W✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
RB Leipzig W – last 6
WLWDLL
27 Sep
@ Blau-Gelb Marburg W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Union Berlin W
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nürnberg W
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Hamburger SV W
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Werder Bremen W
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mainz 05 W – last 6
WLLLLL
26 Sep
@ Ingolstadt W
6–1
W
18 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ SC Freiburg W
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Koln W
0–4
L
31 Aug
@ Bayern Munich W
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Werder Bremen W
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig W and Mainz 05 W.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our pick is RB Leipzig W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
On our numbers RB Leipzig W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mainz 05 W 13%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig W 2–0 Mainz 05 W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at RB-Training Center Cottaweg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
