Mainz 05 W 8%Draw 16%VfL Wolfsburg W 76%Expected goals 0.99 – 3.01
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 2.30 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
2.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultVfL Wolfsburg W to win ✓76% · @1.06
Double chanceVfL Wolfsburg W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.13
Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Frauen Bundesliga brings Mainz 05 W against VfL Wolfsburg W at Bruchwegstadion. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Mainz 05 W are 14th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 9 matches; VfL Wolfsburg W are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mainz 05 W, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to RB Leipzig W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
VfL Wolfsburg W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hamburger SV W, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours VfL Wolfsburg W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Mainz 05 W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mainz 05 W 1.0 xG, VfL Wolfsburg W 3.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mainz 05 W 8%, draw 16%, VfL Wolfsburg W 76%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mainz 05 W 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mainz 05 W8%fair 13.33 · @29.00
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @11.00
VfL Wolfsburg W76%fair 1.32 · @1.06
4.00Expected goals
0.99Mainz 05 W xG
3.01VfL Wolfsburg W xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–38%
0–28%
1–38%
1–28%
0–46%
1–46%
From our goals model: Mainz 05 W 1.0 – 3.0 VfL Wolfsburg W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg W to win✓
76%
1.32
1.06
Double chance
VfL Wolfsburg W or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
VfL Wolfsburg W (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
VfL Wolfsburg W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
VfL Wolfsburg W to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
VfL Wolfsburg W ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg W / FT VfL Wolfsburg W✓
55%
1.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Mainz 05 W – last 6
LWLLLL
3 Oct
@ RB Leipzig W
0–5
L
26 Sep
@ Ingolstadt W
6–1
W
18 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ SC Freiburg W
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Koln W
0–4
L
31 Aug
@ Bayern Munich W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VfL Wolfsburg W – last 6
WWWWLW
4 Oct
vs Hamburger SV W
2–1
W
30 Sep
@ Sturm Graz W
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ SC Sand W
6–0
W
23 Sep
vs Sturm Graz W
6–1
W
18 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Stuttgart W
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mainz 05 W and VfL Wolfsburg W.
What is the prediction for Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
On our numbers Mainz 05 W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 16% and VfL Wolfsburg W 76%.
How many goals will there be in Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
Our predicted score is Mainz 05 W 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bruchwegstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
