Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.98 – our chance 53% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +59%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗53% · @2.98
Double chanceAris Thessalonikis or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kalamata welcome Aris Thessalonikis to Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium for a Super League 1 fixture on Saturday 22 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Kalamata are 8th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Aris Thessalonikis are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Kalamata, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Panetolikos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aris Thessalonikis, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anagennisi Karditsas, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalamata 1.1 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalamata 18%, draw 53%, Aris Thessalonikis 28%.
Lower-risk option: Aris Thessalonikis or draw (82%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aris Thessalonikis or draw (82%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalamata 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalamata18%fair 5.44 · @3.35
Draw53%fair 1.87 · @2.98
Aris Thessalonikis28%fair 3.55 · @2.20
2.31Expected goals
1.05Kalamata xG
1.25Aris Thessalonikis xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Kalamata 1.1 – 1.3 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.87
2.98 ▲
Double chance
Aris Thessalonikis or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.93
Draw no bet
Aris Thessalonikis (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Kalamata +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Aris Thessalonikis to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris Thessalonikis / FT Aris Thessalonikis✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.60
–
Recent results
Kalamata – last 6
WWWWWL
19 Aug
vs Panetolikos
4–2
W
10 Aug
@ Volos NFC
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Marko
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Olympiakos Piraeus II
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs Panionios
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 6
WLWWWW
17 Aug
@ Anagennisi Karditsas
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Napoli
2–6
L
30 Jul
@ Monza
3–1
W
17 May
vs Levadiakos
3–0
W
13 May
@ Volos NFC
2–1
W
10 May
vs OFI
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is Aris Thessalonikis or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers Kalamata have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Aris Thessalonikis 28%.
How many goals will there be in Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is Kalamata 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
