Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceAEK Athens FC or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEK Athens FC welcome Aris Thessalonikis to Allwyn Arena for a Super League 1 fixture on Saturday 5 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, AEK Athens FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 9 matches; Aris Thessalonikis are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AEK Athens FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nestos Chrisoupolis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aris Thessalonikis, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over OFI, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Aris Thessalonikis, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for AEK Athens FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Athens FC 2.5 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Athens FC 70%, draw 19%, Aris Thessalonikis 10%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AEK Athens FC to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Athens FC 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Athens FC70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.50
Aris Thessalonikis10%fair 9.57 · @7.50
3.50Expected goals
2.55AEK Athens FC xG
0.95Aris Thessalonikis xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 2.5 – 1.0 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
AEK Athens FC or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
AEK Athens FC -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
AEK Athens FC to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
AEK Athens FC ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
AEK Athens FC – last 6
WDWWDD
2 Sep
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kifisia
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Levski Sofia
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
4–0
W
18 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs OFI
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 6
WWWLWW
30 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Kalamata
3–2
W
17 Aug
@ Anagennisi Karditsas
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Napoli
2–6
L
30 Jul
@ Monza
3–1
W
17 May
vs Levadiakos
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Athens FC and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is AEK Athens FC to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aris Thessalonikis 10%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?
AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
