Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atromitos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtromitos to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceAtromitos or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Atromitos vs Kalamata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Super League 1 brings Atromitos against Kalamata at Peristeri Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Atromitos are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Kalamata are 8th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Atromitos, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Panserraikos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kalamata, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Volos NFC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atromitos 1.8 xG, Kalamata 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atromitos 58%, draw 24%, Kalamata 18%.
Lower-risk option: Atromitos or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Atromitos to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atromitos or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atromitos 1–0 Kalamata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atromitos58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Kalamata18%fair 5.50 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.82Atromitos xG
0.93Kalamata xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Atromitos 1.8 – 0.9 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atromitos to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Atromitos or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Atromitos (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Kalamata +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Atromitos to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Atromitos ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atromitos / FT Atromitos✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Atromitos – last 6
WLLWWW
2 Sep
@ Panserraikos
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs PAOK
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Pyrgos 1968
3–1
W
21 May
vs Panserraikos
6–0
W
12 May
@ Kifisia
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
DLLWWW
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–3
L
19 Aug
vs Panetolikos
4–2
W
10 Aug
@ Volos NFC
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atromitos and Kalamata.
Our pick is Atromitos or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atromitos vs Kalamata?
On our numbers Atromitos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kalamata 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atromitos vs Kalamata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atromitos vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is Atromitos 1–0 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atromitos vs Kalamata?
Atromitos vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Peristeri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
