Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Super League 1 brings Kalamata against Panathinaikos at Dimotiko Stadio Paralias. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Kalamata are 8th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Panathinaikos are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kalamata, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Larisa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Panathinaikos, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kifisia, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Panathinaikos, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kalamata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalamata 0.8 xG, Panathinaikos 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalamata 10%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 71%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Panathinaikos to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalamata 0–2 Panathinaikos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalamata10%fair 10.22 · @8.50
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.80
Panathinaikos71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
3.25Expected goals
0.83Kalamata xG
2.42Panathinaikos xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–29%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Kalamata 0.8 – 2.4 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Panathinaikos (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Panathinaikos -1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Panathinaikos to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Kalamata – last 6
DWDDLL
17 Sep
vs Larisa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Panathinaikos – last 6
WWWWWW
16 Sep
@ Kifisia
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Panetolikos
3–0
W
10 Sep
vs Kifisia
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs PAOK
3–1
W
3 Sep
vs Niki Volos
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Levadiakos
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalamata and Panathinaikos.
What is the prediction for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers Kalamata have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Panathinaikos 71%.
How many goals will there be in Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is Kalamata 0–2 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Dimotiko Stadio Paralias.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
