16:00 WAT, Monday 12 October: PAOK v Kalamata in the Super League 1, played at Toumba Stadium. In the table, PAOK are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Kalamata are 8th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
PAOK, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Panetolikos, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kalamata, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Panathinaikos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PAOK, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Kalamata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 2.3 xG, Kalamata 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 73%, draw 16%, Kalamata 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 2–1 Kalamata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAOK73%fair 1.38 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @6.50
Kalamata11%fair 8.96 · @12.00
3.10Expected goals
2.33PAOK xG
0.77Kalamata xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
3–09%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.3 – 0.8 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
73%
1.38
1.18
Double chance
PAOK or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
PAOK (draw no bet)✗
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
PAOK -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
PAOK to score first
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
PAOK – last 6
WWWLDW
20 Sep
@ Panetolikos
3–1
W
16 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs OFI
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Atromitos
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
LDWDDL
20 Sep
vs Panathinaikos
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Larisa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Kalamata.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win PAOK vs Kalamata?
On our numbers PAOK have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kalamata 11%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Kalamata?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–1 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Kalamata?
PAOK vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
