Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Asteras Tripolis travel to face Panathinaikos on Sunday 18 October in the Super League 1, with Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Panathinaikos are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Asteras Tripolis are 11th (lower half) with 7. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Panathinaikos, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Borac Banja Luka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Asteras Tripolis, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atromitos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Panathinaikos, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Asteras Tripolis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panathinaikos 2.0 xG, Asteras Tripolis 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panathinaikos 72%, draw 16%, Asteras Tripolis 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Panathinaikos to win (72%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panathinaikos 1–0 Asteras Tripolis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panathinaikos72%fair 1.40 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @6.00
Asteras Tripolis13%fair 7.96 · @13.00
2.58Expected goals
1.97Panathinaikos xG
0.61Asteras Tripolis xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 2.0 – 0.6 Asteras Tripolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
72%
1.40
1.20
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.44
Draw no bet
Panathinaikos (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Panathinaikos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Panathinaikos to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.70
–
Recent results
Panathinaikos – last 6
WLWWWW
15 Oct
vs Borac Banja Luka
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Kifisia
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Panetolikos
3–0
W
10 Sep
vs Kifisia
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
WDWDDL
10 Oct
vs Atromitos
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ OFI
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Niki Volos
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs AEK Athens FC
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis.
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Asteras Tripolis 13%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–0 Asteras Tripolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
