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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Levadiakos v Aris Thessalonikis: numbers & prediction

Super League 1 · Greece · Levadia Stadium
3–0
FT
Levadiakos 19%Draw 22%Aris Thessalonikis 58% Expected goals 0.78 – 1.60
81%
Betarazi pick

Aris Thessalonikis or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Aris Thessalonikis to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAris Thessalonikis to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceAris Thessalonikis or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.74

Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Levadiakos welcome Aris Thessalonikis to Levadia Stadium for a Super League 1 fixture on Sunday 1 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Levadiakos are 13th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Aris Thessalonikis are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Levadiakos, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Asteras Tripolis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Aris Thessalonikis, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Panathinaikos, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aris Thessalonikis, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Levadiakos.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Aris Thessalonikis 3–0 Levadiakos. The last 2 head-to-heads: Levadiakos 0 wins, Aris Thessalonikis 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Levadiakos 0.8 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Levadiakos 19%, draw 22%, Aris Thessalonikis 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aris Thessalonikis or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Aris Thessalonikis to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aris Thessalonikis or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levadiakos 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Levadiakos19%fair 5.19 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Aris Thessalonikis58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
2.38Expected goals
0.78Levadiakos xG
1.60Aris Thessalonikis xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Levadiakos 0.8 – 1.6 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAris Thessalonikis to win ✗58%1.721.95 ▲
Double chanceAris Thessalonikis or draw ✗81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.85
Draw no betAris Thessalonikis (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapLevadiakos +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAris Thessalonikis to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aris Thessalonikis / FT Aris Thessalonikis ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.74–

Recent results

Levadiakos – last 6

DDLLDL
24 Oct@ Asteras Tripolis0–0D
17 Octvs Volos NFC0–0D
11 Oct@ Iraklis 19080–2L
20 Sepvs Olympiakos Piraeus0–1L
13 Sep@ Kifisia0–0D
6 Sepvs Panetolikos0–2L
0.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Aris Thessalonikis – last 6

LWWWDW
28 Oct@ Panathinaikos1–2L
25 Octvs Atromitos3–1W
18 Oct@ Kifisia2–1W
11 Octvs Volos NFC3–2W
19 Sepvs Iraklis 19080–0D
16 Sepvs Marko1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Aris Thessalonikis v Levadiakos3–0
5 Apr 2026Levadiakos v Aris Thessalonikis1–1
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis head-to-head page →

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Panathinaikos10901+1727
2Olympiakos Piraeus10721+1123
3AEK Athens FC9621+1720
4PAOK10613+619
5Aris Thessalonikis10613-119
6OFI10523+217
7Kifisia10424014
8Kalamata10334-412
9Iraklis 190810244-310
10Panetolikos10307-129
11Asteras Tripolis10145-97
12Atromitos9135-36
13Levadiakos10136-96
14Volos NFC10037-120

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our pick is Aris Thessalonikis or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

On our numbers Levadiakos have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aris Thessalonikis 58%.

How many goals will there be in Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our predicted score is Levadiakos 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Levadia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.