Value bet: Kalamata to win @ 3.90 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAsteras Tripolis to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kalamata travel to face Asteras Tripolis on Sunday 8 November in the Super League 1, with Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Asteras Tripolis are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 10 matches; Kalamata are 8th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Asteras Tripolis, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PAOK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Kalamata, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iraklis 1908, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kalamata, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Asteras Tripolis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asteras Tripolis 1.6 xG, Kalamata 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asteras Tripolis 44%, draw 23%, Kalamata 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Kalamata to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Kalamata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asteras Tripolis44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.20
Kalamata32%fair 3.09 · @3.90
2.87Expected goals
1.57Asteras Tripolis xG
1.30Kalamata xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.6 – 1.3 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asteras Tripolis to win✗
44%
2.25
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Asteras Tripolis (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Kalamata +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
First team to score
Asteras Tripolis to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asteras Tripolis / FT Asteras Tripolis✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
LLDLWD
1 Nov
@ PAOK
1–2
L
27 Oct
vs Kifisia
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Levadiakos
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Panathinaikos
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Atromitos
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ OFI
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
DWLWWL
2 Nov
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
28 Oct
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–5
L
18 Oct
vs OFI
4–3
W
12 Oct
@ PAOK
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Panathinaikos
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kalamata 32%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
