Elgin City 68%Draw 20%Fraserburgh 12%Expected goals 2.10 – 0.76
68%
Betarazi pick
Elgin City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultElgin City to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elgin City welcome Fraserburgh to Borough Briggs for a Challenge Cup fixture on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Elgin City, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dumbarton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Fraserburgh, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deveronvale, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elgin City 2.1 xG, Fraserburgh 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 61%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elgin City 68%, draw 20%, Fraserburgh 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Elgin City to win (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elgin City 2–0 Fraserburgh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elgin City68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.20
Fraserburgh12%fair 8.41 · @4.75
2.86Expected goals
2.10Elgin City xG
0.76Fraserburgh xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Elgin City 2.1 – 0.8 Fraserburgh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elgin City to win✓
68%
1.47
1.53
Double chance
Elgin City or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.42
Draw no bet
Elgin City (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Elgin City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.33
First team to score
Elgin City to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Elgin City ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elgin City / FT Elgin City✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Elgin City – last 6
LWWDWL
5 Sep
@ Dumbarton
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
4–0
W
25 Aug
@ Clachnacuddin
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Spartans
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs Kelty Hearts
4–1
W
11 Aug
vs Ross County
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fraserburgh – last 6
LDDWLW
5 Sep
@ Deveronvale
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Clachnacuddin
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Aberdeen U21
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Lossiemouth
4–0
W
19 Aug
@ Inverurie Loco Works
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Nairn County
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Fraserburgh.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
Our pick is Elgin City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fraserburgh 12%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 2–0 Fraserburgh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Annan Athletic4
Motherwell U210
Banks O' Dee1
Forfar Athletic1
Clydebank1
Alloa Athletic1
Cove Rangers6
Dumbarton1
Edinburgh City1
Queen of the South1
Formartine United2
Dundee United II3
Gala Fairydean Rovers1
Hearts U216
Montrose3
Dundee II2