Hamilton Academical 71%Draw 16%Cowdenbeath 12%Expected goals 2.43 – 0.90
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓71% · @1.15
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 23 September the Challenge Cup brings Hamilton Academical against Cowdenbeath at ZLX Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Hamilton Academical, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Queen of the South, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cowdenbeath, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lochee United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hamilton Academical, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Cowdenbeath.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamilton Academical 2.4 xG, Cowdenbeath 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamilton Academical 71%, draw 16%, Cowdenbeath 12%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamilton Academical 2–1 Cowdenbeath. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamilton Academical71%fair 1.40 · @1.15
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @6.00
Cowdenbeath12%fair 8.03 · @13.00
3.33Expected goals
2.43Hamilton Academical xG
0.90Cowdenbeath xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 2.4 – 0.9 Cowdenbeath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamilton Academical to win✓
71%
1.40
1.15
Double chance
Hamilton Academical or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Hamilton Academical (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Hamilton Academical -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Hamilton Academical to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Hamilton Academical ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Hamilton Academical – last 6
WWWWLD
19 Sep
vs Queen of the South
4–1
W
8 Sep
@ Spartans
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ East Kilbride
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Cove Rangers
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Edinburgh City
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ East Fife
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cowdenbeath – last 6
WWLLLL
19 Sep
vs Lochee United
3–1
W
15 Sep
vs East Stirlingshire
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Kilmarnock II
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–3
L
25 Aug
vs East Kilbride
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Cowdenbeath.
What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cowdenbeath 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 2–1 Cowdenbeath, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
