Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartans to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceSpartans or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Spartans vs Dundee II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartans welcome Dundee II to Ainslie Park for a Challenge Cup fixture on Friday 25 September (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Spartans, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gala Fairydean Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Dundee II, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Elgin City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spartans, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Dundee II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartans 2.6 xG, Dundee II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartans 69%, draw 21%, Dundee II 9%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartans to win (69%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartans 2–1 Dundee II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartans69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @5.00
Dundee II9%fair 10.63 · @12.00
3.63Expected goals
2.63Spartans xG
1.00Dundee II xG
58%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Spartans 2.6 – 1.0 Dundee II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartans to win✓
69%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Spartans or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Spartans (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Spartans -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Spartans to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Spartans ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartans / FT Spartans✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Spartans – last 6
DLWLWD
22 Sep
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Dumbarton
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Forfar Athletic
5–1
W
8 Sep
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Clyde
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundee II – last 5
LLLLL
22 Sep
@ Elgin City
0–3
L
8 Sep
@ Montrose
2–3
L
25 Aug
@ Peterhead
1–2
L
11 Aug
@ Formartine United
1–4
L
2 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartans and Dundee II.
Our pick is Spartans to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Spartans vs Dundee II?
On our numbers Spartans have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundee II 9%.
How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Dundee II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Dundee II?
Our predicted score is Spartans 2–1 Dundee II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spartans vs Dundee II?
Spartans vs Dundee II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
