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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · Hnry Stadium
Wellington Phoenix 28%Draw 21%Melbourne Victory 51%
51%
Betarazi pick

Melbourne Victory to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.10Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wellington Phoenix welcome Melbourne Victory to Hnry Stadium for a A League fixture on Sunday 18 October (03:00 WAT). In the table, Wellington Phoenix are 1st, leading the league, on 10 points after 4 matches; Melbourne Victory are 9th (lower half) with 3.

Current form

Wellington Phoenix, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Macarthur, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Melbourne Victory, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Seoul, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Melbourne Victory 0–1 Wellington Phoenix.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wellington Phoenix 28%, draw 21%, Melbourne Victory 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Melbourne Victory to win (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wellington Phoenix28%fair 3.57 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Melbourne Victory51%fair 1.96 · @2.10

Score grid: top six

Goal projections appear once goal data is in.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Victory to win ✗51%1.962.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Draw no betMelbourne Victory (draw no bet) ✗65%1.55–

Recent results

Wellington Phoenix – last 6

LWLWWW
24 Apr@ Macarthur0–4L
18 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers2–1W
12 Apr@ Melbourne City0–2L
5 Apr@ Melbourne Victory1–0W
21 Mar@ Brisbane Roar2–1W
14 Marvs Perth Glory2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Melbourne Victory – last 6

WDDWDD
14 Octvs FC Seoul3–0W
10 Oct@ South Melbourne0–0D
16 Sep@ Viettel1–1D
9 Sep@ Sydney2–0W
19 Aug@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers0–0D
8 Aug@ Western Sydney Wanderers0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix0–1
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Our pick is Melbourne Victory to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

On our numbers Wellington Phoenix have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Melbourne Victory 51%.

When is Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory (A League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Hnry Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.