Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Macarthur to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Macarthur travel to face Newcastle Jets on Saturday 24 October in the A League, with McDonald Jones Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 10th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Macarthur are 7th (lower half) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newcastle Jets, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Central Coast Mariners, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Macarthur, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Perth Glory, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Macarthur, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Newcastle Jets.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Macarthur 3–2 Newcastle Jets. The last 2 head-to-heads: Newcastle Jets 1 win, Macarthur 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 1.8 xG, Macarthur 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 43%, draw 21%, Macarthur 36%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Macarthur to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 1–1 Macarthur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle Jets43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Macarthur36%fair 2.74 · @3.10
3.50Expected goals
1.83Newcastle Jets xG
1.67Macarthur xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 1.7 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Macarthur 36%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–1 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
