Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Wellington Phoenix to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wellington Phoenix travel to face Newcastle Jets on Saturday 31 October in the A League, with McDonald Jones Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 10th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Wellington Phoenix are 1st (leading the league) with 10.
Current form
Newcastle Jets, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Kyoto Sanga, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Central Coast Mariners, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Wellington Phoenix, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Newcastle Jets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 1.4 xG, Wellington Phoenix 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 41%, draw 21%, Wellington Phoenix 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Wellington Phoenix to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 1–1 Wellington Phoenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle Jets41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Wellington Phoenix38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
2.75Expected goals
1.41Newcastle Jets xG
1.34Wellington Phoenix xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.4 – 1.3 Wellington Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✗
41%
2.45
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
Newcastle Jets (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Wellington Phoenix +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Newcastle Jets to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LDDLLL
27 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–5
L
24 Oct
vs Macarthur
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
1–3
L
15 Sep
@ Kashima
1–7
L
21 Jul
@ Preston Lions
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Wellington Phoenix – last 6
WWLWLW
25 Oct
vs Central Coast Mariners
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Melbourne Victory
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Macarthur
0–4
L
18 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Melbourne City
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Melbourne Victory
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wellington Phoenix 38%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–1 Wellington Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
