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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Auckland v Wellington Phoenix: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · Go Media Stadium
0–0
FT
Auckland 41%Draw 21%Wellington Phoenix 37% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.53
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Wellington Phoenix to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAuckland to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Auckland welcome Wellington Phoenix to Go Media Stadium for a A League fixture on Saturday 7 November (05:00 WAT). In the table, Auckland are 8th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Wellington Phoenix are 1st (leading the league) with 10.

Current form

Auckland, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brisbane Roar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Wellington Phoenix, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Newcastle Jets, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wellington Phoenix, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Auckland.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Wellington Phoenix 0–5 Auckland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Auckland 1.6 xG, Wellington Phoenix 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Auckland 41%, draw 21%, Wellington Phoenix 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Wellington Phoenix to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auckland 1–1 Wellington Phoenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Auckland41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Wellington Phoenix37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
3.16Expected goals
1.62Auckland xG
1.53Wellington Phoenix xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Auckland 1.6 – 1.5 Wellington Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuckland to win ✗41%2.422.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Draw no betAuckland (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapWellington Phoenix +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.14
First team to scoreAuckland to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Auckland / FT Auckland ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Auckland – last 6

DLWLLL
30 Oct@ Brisbane Roar1–1D
24 Oct@ Western Sydney Wanderers2–5L
17 Octvs Melbourne City3–1W
19 Sepvs Western Sydney Wanderers1–3L
26 Aug@ Al-Ahli Jeddah0–1L
26 Julvs Tottenham0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wellington Phoenix – last 6

WWWLWL
31 Oct@ Newcastle Jets3–0W
25 Octvs Central Coast Mariners2–0W
18 Octvs Melbourne Victory2–1W
24 Apr@ Macarthur0–4L
18 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers2–1W
12 Apr@ Melbourne City0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Wellington Phoenix v Auckland0–5
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?

On our numbers Auckland have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wellington Phoenix 37%.

How many goals will there be in Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?

Our predicted score is Auckland 1–1 Wellington Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?

Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Go Media Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.