Value bet: Macarthur to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMacarthur to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brisbane Roar travel to face Macarthur on Sunday 8 November in the A League, with Campbelltown Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT. In the table, Macarthur are 7th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Brisbane Roar are 3rd (among the top four) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Macarthur, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Western Sydney Wanderers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Brisbane Roar, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Auckland, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macarthur 1.3 xG, Brisbane Roar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macarthur 42%, draw 22%, Brisbane Roar 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Macarthur to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macarthur 1–1 Brisbane Roar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macarthur42%fair 2.39 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Brisbane Roar36%fair 2.74 · @2.62
2.43Expected goals
1.27Macarthur xG
1.16Brisbane Roar xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Macarthur 1.3 – 1.2 Brisbane Roar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macarthur to win✗
42%
2.39
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Macarthur (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane Roar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.17
First team to score
Macarthur to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macarthur / FT Macarthur✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Macarthur – last 6
DDWDWW
31 Oct
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Newcastle Jets
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Perth Glory
2–1
W
11 Aug
@ SD Raiders
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Uni Azzurri
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Wellington Phoenix
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brisbane Roar – last 6
DWWLWL
30 Oct
vs Auckland
1–1
D
23 Oct
vs Perth Glory
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Olympic
4–3
W
9 Aug
vs Sydney
2–4
L
30 Jul
@ Sydney Olympic
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Melbourne City
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar.
What is the prediction for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
On our numbers Macarthur have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brisbane Roar 36%.
How many goals will there be in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Our predicted score is Macarthur 1–1 Brisbane Roar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar (A League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Campbelltown Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.