Value bet: Tatabánya to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTatabánya to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceTatabánya or draw ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dorogi FC travel to face Tatabánya on Saturday 24 October in the NB III Northwest, with Grosics Gyula Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Tatabánya are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 15 matches; Dorogi FC are 1st (leading the league) with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tatabánya, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pápai Perutz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dorogi FC, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bicskei, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tatabánya 2.0 xG, Dorogi FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tatabánya 55%, draw 23%, Dorogi FC 22%.
Lower-risk option: Tatabánya or draw (78%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Tatabánya to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tatabánya or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tatabánya 2–1 Dorogi FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tatabánya55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Dorogi FC22%fair 4.50 · @3.00
3.22Expected goals
2.00Tatabánya xG
1.22Dorogi FC xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tatabánya 2.0 – 1.2 Dorogi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tatabánya to win✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Tatabánya or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Tatabánya (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Dorogi FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Tatabánya to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Tatabánya ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tatabánya / FT Tatabánya✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Tatabánya – last 6
WWWWWL
17 Oct
@ Pápai Perutz
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Zalaegerszegi TE II
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Komárom
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs 1908 SZAC
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Veszprém
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Kecskeméti TE
4–5
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dorogi FC – last 6
WWDWWD
17 Oct
vs Bicskei
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Gyori ETO II
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Haladás VSE
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ MTE 1904
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Puskás II
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Ujpest
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tatabánya and Dorogi FC.
What is the prediction for Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
Our pick is Tatabánya or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
On our numbers Tatabánya have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dorogi FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
Our predicted score is Tatabánya 2–1 Dorogi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC (NB III Northwest) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Grosics Gyula Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
