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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ESMTK v Dabas: numbers & prediction

NB III Southeast · Hungary

ESMTK

DWWDW
6–0
FT

Dabas

LDLLD
ESMTK 67%Draw 19%Dabas 14% Expected goals 2.38 – 1.03
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultESMTK to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceESMTK or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

ESMTK vs Dabas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dabas travel to face ESMTK on Sunday 27 September in the NB III Southeast – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, ESMTK are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 15 matches; Dabas are 9th (lower half) with 19. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

ESMTK, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Szeged-Csanád II, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dabas, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to III. Kerületi TUE, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours ESMTK, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Dabas.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Dabas 1–2 ESMTK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ESMTK 2.4 xG, Dabas 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ESMTK 67%, draw 19%, Dabas 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: ESMTK 2–1 Dabas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ESMTK67%fair 1.49 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @5.25
Dabas14%fair 6.96 · @9.00
3.41Expected goals
2.38ESMTK xG
1.03Dabas xG
50%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: ESMTK 2.4 – 1.0 Dabas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultESMTK to win ✓67%1.491.22
Double chanceESMTK or draw ✓86%1.171.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betESMTK (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapESMTK -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
First team to scoreESMTK to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultESMTK ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT ESMTK / FT ESMTK ✓45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

ESMTK – last 6

DWWDWW
20 Sep@ Szeged-Csanád II1–1D
13 Sep@ Lebeny SE7–1W
6 Sepvs Vasas II2–0W
29 Aug@ Bekescsaba 19123–3D
26 Augvs Sándorfalva3–0W
22 Aug@ Algyő SK3–0W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dabas – last 6

LDLLDW
20 Sepvs III. Kerületi TUE0–1L
12 Sep@ Cigand SE1–1D
5 Sep@ Gyulai Termál0–5L
30 Augvs Újpest II1–2L
26 Aug@ Szolnoki MAV FC2–2D
22 Aug@ Felsőpakony3–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Dabas v ESMTK1–2
ESMTK vs Dabas head-to-head page →

NB III Southeast table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gyulai Termál151410+3643
2ESMTK151041+2434
3III. Kerületi TUE15825+726
4Újpest II15744+1325
5Szeged-Csanád II15663+724
6Vasas II15564+1121
7Monori Se15564+121
8Csepel15555+320
9Dabas15546-1119
10Bekescsaba 191215456017
11Honvéd II15447+216
12Szolnoki MAV FC15366-415
13Sándorfalva15348-2213
14Hódmezővásárhely15267-1312
15Szegedi VSE15249-2010
16BKV Előre152310-349

More NB III Southeast predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ESMTK vs Dabas?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win ESMTK vs Dabas?

On our numbers ESMTK have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dabas 14%.

How many goals will there be in ESMTK vs Dabas?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ESMTK vs Dabas?

Our predicted score is ESMTK 2–1 Dabas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is ESMTK vs Dabas?

ESMTK vs Dabas (NB III Southeast) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.