Value bet: Pharco to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPharco to win ✓60% · @1.81
Double chancePharco or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.14
Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Thursday 10 September: Pharco v Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Second League. In the table, Pharco are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Pharco, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with El Dakhleya, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mega Sport, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pharco, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pharco 1.2 xG, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0.4 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pharco 60%, draw 24%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 16%.
Price worth noting: Pharco to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pharco 1–0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pharco60%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.95
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla16%fair 6.27 · @4.99
1.60Expected goals
1.19Pharco xG
0.40Baladiyyat Al Mehalla xG
36%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–020%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Pharco 1.2 – 0.4 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pharco to win✓
60%
1.68
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Pharco or draw✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
–
Draw no bet
Pharco (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.59
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Pharco to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pharco / FT Pharco✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.14
–
Recent results
Pharco – last 6
DWWWLL
4 Sep
@ El Dakhleya
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs El Mansura
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ Proxy
1–0
W
28 May
@ Ismaily SC
2–1
W
22 May
vs National Bank of Egypt
0–1
L
18 May
@ El Geish
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla – last 6
WDLLLD
4 Sep
vs Mega Sport
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs El Dakhleya
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ El Mansura
1–2
L
14 May
@ Asyut Petrol
0–1
L
7 May
vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
0–1
L
30 Apr
vs El Mansura
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pharco and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
What is the prediction for Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
On our numbers Pharco have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Pharco 1–0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
