Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 40%Draw 24%AL Nasr SC 36%Expected goals 1.11 – 1.04
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultBaladiyyat Al Mehalla to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.72
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla v AL Nasr SC in the Second League, played at El Mahalla Stadium. In the table, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; AL Nasr SC are 9th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Itesalat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
AL Nasr SC, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with El Dakhleya, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AL Nasr SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1.1 xG, AL Nasr SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 40%, draw 24%, AL Nasr SC 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–1 AL Nasr SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla40%fair 2.53 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
AL Nasr SC36%fair 2.77 · @2.88
2.15Expected goals
1.11Baladiyyat Al Mehalla xG
1.04AL Nasr SC xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1.1 – 1.0 AL Nasr SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win✓
40%
2.53
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
AL Nasr SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baladiyyat Al Mehalla / FT Baladiyyat Al Mehalla✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.72
–
Recent results
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla – last 6
DWLWDL
22 Oct
@ Itesalat
0–0
D
16 Oct
vs Masar
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
0–1
L
2 Oct
vs Team
3–1
W
25 Sep
@ Tersana
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Kahraba Ismailia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AL Nasr SC – last 6
DWDWWL
22 Oct
vs El Dakhleya
2–2
D
15 Oct
@ El Mansura
2–1
W
8 Oct
vs Proxy
1–1
D
1 Oct
@ La Viena FC
3–1
W
24 Sep
vs El Seka El Hadid
3–1
W
17 Sep
@ Tanta SC
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and AL Nasr SC.
What is the prediction for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
On our numbers Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AL Nasr SC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
Our predicted score is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–1 AL Nasr SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC (Second League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at El Mahalla Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
