Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Jarun to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJarun to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Križevci vs Jarun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Križevci welcome Jarun to Gradski stadion Krizevci for a Second NL fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Križevci are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Jarun are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Križevci, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Koprivnica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Jarun, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Trnje, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Križevci 1.7 xG, Jarun 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Križevci 39%, draw 21%, Jarun 40%.
Price worth noting: Jarun to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Križevci 1–2 Jarun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Križevci39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Jarun40%fair 2.52 · @2.80
3.36Expected goals
1.67Križevci xG
1.69Jarun xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Križevci 1.7 – 1.7 Jarun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarun to win✗
40%
2.52
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Jarun (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Križevci +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Jarun to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarun / FT Jarun✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.09
–
Recent results
Križevci – last 6
WLLLWD
12 Sep
@ Koprivnica
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Bjelovar
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Inter Zapresic
0–3
L
26 Aug
@ Orijent 1919
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Varteks Varaždin
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Bjelovar
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jarun – last 6
DWDDDL
12 Sep
vs Trnje
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Slavonija Požega
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zagora
4–4
D
22 Aug
@ Lucko
1–1
D
30 May
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
22 May
@ Karlovac 1919
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Križevci and Jarun.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Križevci vs Jarun?
On our numbers Križevci have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jarun 40%.
How many goals will there be in Križevci vs Jarun?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Križevci vs Jarun?
Our predicted score is Križevci 1–2 Jarun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Križevci vs Jarun?
Križevci vs Jarun (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Krizevci.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
