Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Zagora to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLucko to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Lucko vs Zagora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Lucko v Zagora in the Second NL. In the table, Lucko are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Zagora are 12th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lucko, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dugo Selo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Zagora, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Uljanik, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Zagora, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Lucko.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lucko 1.7 xG, Zagora 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lucko 43%, draw 20%, Zagora 37%.
Price worth noting: Zagora to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lucko 2–1 Zagora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lucko43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Zagora37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
3.31Expected goals
1.72Lucko xG
1.59Zagora xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lucko 1.7 – 1.6 Zagora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lucko to win✗
43%
2.34
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Lucko (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Zagora +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Lucko to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lucko / FT Lucko✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Lucko – last 6
LDLWDL
18 Sep
vs Dugo Selo
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Uljanik
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Solin
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Jarun
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Karlovac 1919
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zagora – last 6
WDLDDW
19 Sep
vs Uljanik
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Solin
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs NK Varazdin
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Jarun
4–4
D
26 Aug
vs Bratstvo Jurovec
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lucko and Zagora.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lucko vs Zagora?
On our numbers Lucko have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zagora 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lucko vs Zagora?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lucko vs Zagora?
Our predicted score is Lucko 2–1 Zagora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lucko vs Zagora?
Lucko vs Zagora (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
