Zagora 56%Draw 19%Dugo Selo 25%Expected goals 2.01 – 1.25
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Zagora to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZagora to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Zagora vs Dugo Selo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zagora welcome Dugo Selo for a Second NL fixture on Saturday 3 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Zagora are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Dugo Selo are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Zagora, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lucko, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Dugo Selo, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Inter Zapresic, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zagora 2.0 xG, Dugo Selo 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zagora 56%, draw 19%, Dugo Selo 25%.
Price worth noting: Zagora to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zagora 2–1 Dugo Selo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zagora56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Dugo Selo25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
3.26Expected goals
2.01Zagora xG
1.25Dugo Selo xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Zagora 2.0 – 1.3 Dugo Selo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zagora to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Zagora (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Dugo Selo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Zagora to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Zagora ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zagora / FT Zagora✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Zagora – last 6
WWDLDD
26 Sep
@ Lucko
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Uljanik
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Solin
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs NK Varazdin
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Jarun
4–4
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dugo Selo – last 6
WWLLWD
26 Sep
vs Inter Zapresic
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Lucko
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Varteks Varaždin
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Uljanik
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Uskok Klis
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Solin
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zagora and Dugo Selo.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Zagora vs Dugo Selo?
On our numbers Zagora have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dugo Selo 25%.
How many goals will there be in Zagora vs Dugo Selo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zagora vs Dugo Selo?
Our predicted score is Zagora 2–1 Dugo Selo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Zagora vs Dugo Selo?
Zagora vs Dugo Selo (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
