Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Trnje to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTrnje to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Trnje vs Zagora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zagora travel to face Trnje on Saturday 17 October in the Second NL – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Trnje are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Zagora are 12th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Trnje, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lucko, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Zagora, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Slavonija Požega, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trnje 2.1 xG, Zagora 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trnje 60%, draw 19%, Zagora 21%.
Price worth noting: Trnje to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trnje 2–1 Zagora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trnje60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.60
Zagora21%fair 4.67 · @3.20
3.36Expected goals
2.15Trnje xG
1.21Zagora xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Trnje 2.1 – 1.2 Zagora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trnje to win✗
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Trnje (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Zagora +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Trnje to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Trnje ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trnje / FT Trnje✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Trnje – last 6
LWLLDW
10 Oct
@ Lucko
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Uljanik
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Solin
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Jarun
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Koprivnica
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zagora – last 6
DLWWDL
10 Oct
vs Slavonija Požega
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Dugo Selo
0–4
L
26 Sep
@ Lucko
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Uljanik
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Solin
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs NK Varazdin
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trnje and Zagora.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Trnje vs Zagora?
On our numbers Trnje have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zagora 21%.
How many goals will there be in Trnje vs Zagora?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trnje vs Zagora?
Our predicted score is Trnje 2–1 Zagora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Trnje vs Zagora?
Trnje vs Zagora (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
