Union Comercio 66%Draw 20%Academia Cantolao 14%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.85
66%
Betarazi pick
Union Comercio to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Comercio to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceUnion Comercio or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.23
Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 7 August the Segunda División brings Union Comercio against Academia Cantolao at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Union Comercio are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Academia Cantolao are 8th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Comercio, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cesar Vallejo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Academia Cantolao, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cesar Vallejo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Comercio 2.0 xG, Academia Cantolao 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Comercio 66%, draw 20%, Academia Cantolao 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Comercio to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Comercio 1–0 Academia Cantolao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Comercio66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.75
Academia Cantolao14%fair 6.97 · @9.00
2.80Expected goals
1.95Union Comercio xG
0.85Academia Cantolao xG
45%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 2.0 – 0.8 Academia Cantolao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Comercio to win✓
66%
1.52
1.25
Double chance
Union Comercio or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Union Comercio (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Union Comercio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Union Comercio to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Union Comercio ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Comercio / FT Union Comercio✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.23
–
Recent results
Union Comercio – last 6
DLLWWD
25 Jul
@ Cesar Vallejo
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Sporting Cristal
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Comerciantes
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Estudiantil CNI
3–1
W
31 May
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
1–0
W
17 May
vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Academia Cantolao – last 6
DDLWLL
1 Aug
vs Cesar Vallejo
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
20 Jun
vs U. San Martin
4–3
W
31 May
vs U. San Martin
0–4
L
24 May
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Comercio and Academia Cantolao.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
Our pick is Union Comercio to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Academia Cantolao 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Academia Cantolao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
