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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leatherhead v Welling United: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
Leatherhead 44%Draw 23%Welling United 33% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.35
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeatherhead to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Leatherhead vs Welling United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leatherhead welcome Welling United for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Tuesday 11 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Leatherhead are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 14 matches; Welling United are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Leatherhead, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ramsgate, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Welling United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Whitehawk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leatherhead 1.5 xG, Welling United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leatherhead 44%, draw 23%, Welling United 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leatherhead 2–1 Welling United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leatherhead44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Welling United33%fair 3.01 · @3.00
2.90Expected goals
1.55Leatherhead xG
1.35Welling United xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Leatherhead 1.5 – 1.3 Welling United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeatherhead to win ✓44%2.292.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betLeatherhead (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapWelling United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreLeatherhead to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leatherhead / FT Leatherhead ✓25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Recent results

Leatherhead – last 4

WDWL
8 Aug@ Ramsgate2–1W
25 Julvs Ashford Town (Middlesex)1–1D
11 Julvs Dorking Wanderers3–2W
21 Febvs Hayes & Yeading United1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Welling United – last 6

WLWLWL
8 Augvs Whitehawk2–0W
1 Aug@ Folkestone Invicta0–2L
14 Julvs Braintree3–2W
11 Jul@ Maidstone Utd1–4L
14 Aprvs Potters Bar Town1–0W
6 Apr@ Brentwood Town0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leatherhead and Welling United.

Leatherhead vs Welling United head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Isthmian table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enfield Town161213+2737
2Welling United171214+1837
3Eastbourne Borough161114+1334
4Dartford161006+530
5Lewes17935+430
6Ramsgate15816+1425
7Carshalton Athletic17818-725
8Leatherhead14734+724
9St Albans City13724+623
10Chatham Town16718+322
11Wingate & Finchley15645-122
12Burgess Hill Town16574-222
13Whyteleafe16637+121
14Dulwich Hamlet17638-421
15Aveley16628-320
16Maldon & Tiptree186210-1420
17Cray Wanderers11533+1018
18Cheshunt16466-818
19Brentwood Town15519-316
20Three Bridges162410-1710
21Whitehawk171511-238
22Stanway Rovers162212-268

More Non League Premier Isthmian predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leatherhead vs Welling United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Leatherhead vs Welling United?

On our numbers Leatherhead have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Welling United 33%.

How many goals will there be in Leatherhead vs Welling United?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leatherhead vs Welling United?

Our predicted score is Leatherhead 2–1 Welling United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Leatherhead vs Welling United?

Leatherhead vs Welling United (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.