Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultAveley to win ✗59% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aveley welcome Wingate & Finchley for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Monday 14 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Aveley are 15th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Wingate & Finchley are 11th (upper half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aveley, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leatherhead, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Wingate & Finchley, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Welling United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aveley, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Wingate & Finchley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aveley 2.0 xG, Wingate & Finchley 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aveley 59%, draw 19%, Wingate & Finchley 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aveley 2–1 Wingate & Finchley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aveley59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.90
Wingate & Finchley22%fair 4.49 · @4.50
3.19Expected goals
2.04Aveley xG
1.15Wingate & Finchley xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Aveley 2.0 – 1.2 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aveley to win✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Aveley (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Wingate & Finchley +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Aveley to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Aveley ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aveley / FT Aveley✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Aveley – last 6
LWWLWW
12 Sep
vs Leatherhead
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Cheshunt
4–2
W
31 Aug
@ Stanway Rovers
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Lewes
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Three Bridges
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Whitehawk
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wingate & Finchley – last 6
LDLWWD
12 Sep
@ Welling United
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Enfield Town
1–4
L
29 Aug
@ Chatham Town
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Dulwich Hamlet
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Whyteleafe
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aveley and Wingate & Finchley.
What is the prediction for Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
On our numbers Aveley have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Wingate & Finchley 22%.
How many goals will there be in Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our predicted score is Aveley 2–1 Wingate & Finchley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
