Burgess Hill Town v Maldon & Tiptree Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBurgess Hill Town to win ✓65% · @1.55

Double chanceBurgess Hill Town or draw ✓84% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Burgess Hill Town v Maldon & Tiptree in the Non League Premier Isthmian. In the table, Burgess Hill Town are 12th, lower half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Maldon & Tiptree are 16th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Burgess Hill Town, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Winslow United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Maldon & Tiptree, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Cray Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Burgess Hill Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Maldon & Tiptree.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burgess Hill Town 2.5 xG, Maldon & Tiptree 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Burgess Hill Town 65%, draw 19%, Maldon & Tiptree 16%.
Lower-risk option: Burgess Hill Town or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Burgess Hill Town to win (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Maldon & Tiptree. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burgess Hill Town65%fair 1.53 · @1.55

Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.00

Maldon & Tiptree16%fair 6.45 · @4.20

3.69Expected goals

2.50Burgess Hill Town xG

1.19Maldon & Tiptree xG

62%Both score

71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

2–08%

3–18%

1–17%

3–07%

1–06%

From our goals model: Burgess Hill Town 2.5 – 1.2 Maldon & Tiptree expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Burgess Hill Town to win ✓	65%	1.53	1.55
Double chance	Burgess Hill Town or draw ✓	84%	1.18	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.55
Draw no bet	Burgess Hill Town (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Burgess Hill Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	50%	1.99	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
First team to score	Burgess Hill Town to score first ✓	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Burgess Hill Town ahead at half-time ✓	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town ✓	44%	2.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.77	–

Burgess Hill Town – last 6

WLWDDD

26 Sep	vs Winslow United	6–2	W
19 Sep	@ Hanwell Town	1–2	L
15 Sep	@ Jersey Bulls	3–1	W
12 Sep	vs Ramsgate	2–2	D
5 Sep	vs Jersey Bulls	0–0	D
31 Aug	@ Whitehawk	1–1	D

2.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Maldon & Tiptree – last 6

LLLLLW

29 Sep	vs Cray Wanderers	1–5	L
26 Sep	vs Egham Town	0–2	L
22 Sep	@ Brentwood Town	1–5	L
19 Sep	vs Carshalton Athletic	2–3	L
15 Sep	@ Ramsgate	0–2	L
12 Sep	vs Whitehawk	3–2	W

1.2Scored / game

3.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	+27	37
2	Welling United	17	12	1	4	+18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	+13	34
4	Dartford	16	10	0	6	+5	30
5	Lewes	17	9	3	5	+4	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	+14	25
7	Carshalton Athletic	17	8	1	8	-7	25
8	Leatherhead	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	St Albans City	13	7	2	4	+6	23
10	Chatham Town	16	7	1	8	+3	22
11	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	-2	22
13	Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	+1	21
14	Dulwich Hamlet	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	-3	20
16	Maldon & Tiptree	18	6	2	10	-14	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	+10	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	-8	18
19	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	-3	16
20	Three Bridges	16	2	4	10	-17	10
21	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	-23	8
22	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Team

Pts

+27

+18

+13

+14

-7

-1

-2

-4

-3

-14

+10

-8

-3

-17

-23

-26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Our pick is Burgess Hill Town to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?

On our numbers Burgess Hill Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maldon & Tiptree 16%.

How many goals will there be in Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Our predicted score is Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Maldon & Tiptree, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Burgess Hill Town v Maldon & Tiptree: numbers & prediction