Maldon & Tiptree v Welling United Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWelling United to win ✓63% · @1.44

Double chanceWelling United or draw ✓87% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.57

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Maldon & Tiptree welcome Welling United for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Maldon & Tiptree are 16th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Welling United are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Maldon & Tiptree, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Burgess Hill Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Welling United, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Whyteleafe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Welling United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Maldon & Tiptree.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maldon & Tiptree 1.2 xG, Welling United 2.6 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Maldon & Tiptree 13%, draw 24%, Welling United 63%.
Lower-risk option: Welling United or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maldon & Tiptree 1–2 Welling United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maldon & Tiptree13%fair 7.48 · @5.00

Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.00

Welling United63%fair 1.59 · @1.44

3.79Expected goals

1.23Maldon & Tiptree xG

2.56Welling United xG

65%Both score

73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–38%

0–27%

1–17%

0–36%

0–16%

From our goals model: Maldon & Tiptree 1.2 – 2.6 Welling United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Welling United to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.44
Double chance	Welling United or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	65%	1.53	1.57
Draw no bet	Welling United (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Welling United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	89%	1.12	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
First team to score	Welling United to score first ✓	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Welling United ahead at half-time ✗	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Welling United / FT Welling United ✗	44%	2.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.98	–

Maldon & Tiptree – last 6

LLLLLL

3 Oct	@ Burgess Hill Town	1–4	L
29 Sep	vs Cray Wanderers	1–5	L
26 Sep	vs Egham Town	0–2	L
22 Sep	@ Brentwood Town	1–5	L
19 Sep	vs Carshalton Athletic	2–3	L
15 Sep	@ Ramsgate	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

3.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Welling United – last 6

WDLWWD

3 Oct	vs Whyteleafe	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Chertsey Town	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Dulwich Hamlet	1–4	L
15 Sep	vs Cheshunt	2–0	W
12 Sep	vs Wingate & Finchley	4–1	W
5 Sep	@ Faversham Town	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	+27	37
2	Welling United	17	12	1	4	+18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	+13	34
4	Dartford	16	10	0	6	+5	30
5	Lewes	17	9	3	5	+4	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	+14	25
7	Carshalton Athletic	17	8	1	8	-7	25
8	Leatherhead	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	St Albans City	13	7	2	4	+6	23
10	Chatham Town	16	7	1	8	+3	22
11	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	-2	22
13	Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	+1	21
14	Dulwich Hamlet	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	-3	20
16	Maldon & Tiptree	18	6	2	10	-14	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	+10	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	-8	18
19	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	-3	16
20	Three Bridges	16	2	4	10	-17	10
21	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	-23	8
22	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Team

Pts

+27

+18

+13

+14

-7

-1

-2

-4

-3

-14

+10

-8

-3

-17

-23

-26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?

On our numbers Maldon & Tiptree have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Welling United 63%.

How many goals will there be in Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?

Our predicted score is Maldon & Tiptree 1–2 Welling United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?

Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Maldon & Tiptree v Welling United: numbers & prediction