Burgess Hill Town 44%Draw 20%Aveley 36%Expected goals 1.71 – 1.53
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultBurgess Hill Town to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burgess Hill Town welcome Aveley for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Burgess Hill Town are 12th, lower half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Aveley are 15th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Burgess Hill Town, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Maldon & Tiptree, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Aveley, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cheshunt, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burgess Hill Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Aveley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgess Hill Town 1.7 xG, Aveley 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgess Hill Town 44%, draw 20%, Aveley 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Aveley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgess Hill Town44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.70
Aveley36%fair 2.75 · @2.45
3.24Expected goals
1.71Burgess Hill Town xG
1.53Aveley xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Burgess Hill Town 1.7 – 1.5 Aveley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgess Hill Town to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Burgess Hill Town (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Aveley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Burgess Hill Town to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Burgess Hill Town – last 6
WWLWDD
3 Oct
vs Maldon & Tiptree
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Winslow United
6–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Jersey Bulls
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ramsgate
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Jersey Bulls
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aveley – last 6
LLWLLL
6 Oct
@ Cheshunt
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Ware
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Brentwood Town
2–3
L
14 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
3–4
L
12 Sep
vs Leatherhead
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgess Hill Town and Aveley.
What is the prediction for Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
On our numbers Burgess Hill Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aveley 36%.
How many goals will there be in Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Our predicted score is Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Aveley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
