Welling United 61%Draw 15%Leatherhead 24%Expected goals 2.05 – 1.17
61%
Betarazi pick
Welling United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultWelling United to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Welling United vs Leatherhead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Welling United v Leatherhead in the Non League Premier Isthmian. In the table, Welling United are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 17 matches; Leatherhead are 8th (upper half) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Welling United, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Chatham Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Leatherhead, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Eastbourne Borough, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Welling United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Leatherhead.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Aug 2026) it ended Leatherhead 4–1 Welling United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Welling United 2.0 xG, Leatherhead 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Welling United 61%, draw 15%, Leatherhead 24%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Welling United to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welling United 2–1 Leatherhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Welling United61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.56 · @3.50
Leatherhead24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
3.22Expected goals
2.05Welling United xG
1.17Leatherhead xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Welling United 2.0 – 1.2 Leatherhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Welling United vs Leatherhead?
Our pick is Welling United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Welling United vs Leatherhead?
On our numbers Welling United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Leatherhead 24%.
How many goals will there be in Welling United vs Leatherhead?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welling United vs Leatherhead?
Our predicted score is Welling United 2–1 Leatherhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Welling United vs Leatherhead?
Welling United vs Leatherhead (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.