Guiseley AFC 66%Draw 18%Leek Town 17%Expected goals 2.32 – 1.08
66%
Betarazi pick
Guiseley AFC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceGuiseley AFC or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 November the Non League Premier Northern brings Guiseley AFC against Leek Town. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Guiseley AFC are 4th, among the top four, on 33 points after 16 matches; Leek Town are 19th (lower half) with 17. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guiseley AFC, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Redcar Athletic, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leek Town, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Curzon Ashton, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Leek Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guiseley AFC 2.3 xG, Leek Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guiseley AFC 66%, draw 18%, Leek Town 17%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guiseley AFC to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guiseley AFC 2–1 Leek Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guiseley AFC66%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.40
Leek Town17%fair 6.03 · @5.55
3.40Expected goals
2.32Guiseley AFC xG
1.08Leek Town xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 2.3 – 1.1 Leek Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✓
66%
1.53
1.40
Double chance
Guiseley AFC or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.63
Draw no bet
Guiseley AFC (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Guiseley AFC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.52
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.17
First team to score
Guiseley AFC to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Guiseley AFC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Guiseley AFC – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Oct
@ Redcar Athletic
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Rylands
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs Cleethorpes Town
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Leiston
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Avro
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Ilkeston Town
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leek Town – last 6
LLWWDD
31 Oct
@ Curzon Ashton
1–2
L
27 Oct
@ Bury
3–5
L
24 Oct
vs Bootle
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Lancaster City
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Ashton United
2–2
D
6 Oct
vs Rylands
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Leek Town.
What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
Our pick is Guiseley AFC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leek Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 2–1 Leek Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
