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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avro v Lancaster City: numbers & prediction

Avro

WWLWW
5–3
FT
Avro 66%Draw 19%Lancaster City 14% Expected goals 2.41 – 1.06
66%
Betarazi pick

Avro to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAvro to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceAvro or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

Avro vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Avro welcome Lancaster City for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Wednesday 7 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Avro are 10th, upper half, on 29 points after 17 matches; Lancaster City are 14th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Avro, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dunston UTS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Lancaster City, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ilkeston Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Avro, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Lancaster City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avro 2.4 xG, Lancaster City 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avro 66%, draw 19%, Lancaster City 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Avro or draw (86%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Avro to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avro 2–1 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avro66%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.10
Lancaster City14%fair 6.99 · @4.33
3.47Expected goals
2.41Avro xG
1.06Lancaster City xG
51%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Avro 2.4 – 1.1 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAvro to win ✓66%1.501.57
Double chanceAvro or draw ✓86%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betAvro (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapAvro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
First team to scoreAvro to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultAvro ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Avro / FT Avro ✗45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

Avro – last 6

WWLWWD
26 Sep@ Dunston UTS2–0W
12 Sep@ Gainsborough Trinity2–0W
5 Sepvs Witton Albion0–2L
31 Aug@ United of Manchester4–3W
29 Augvs Stockton Town5–3W
26 Augvs Leek Town4–4D
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lancaster City – last 6

WWLLLD
3 Octvs Ilkeston Town2–1W
29 Sep@ Whitby Town2–1W
26 Sep@ Cleethorpes Town1–5L
19 Sep@ Bradford (Park Avenue)0–1L
12 Sepvs Curzon Ashton0–2L
5 Sepvs Tadcaster Albion1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Avro and Lancaster City.

Avro vs Lancaster City head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avro vs Lancaster City?

Our pick is Avro to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Avro vs Lancaster City?

On our numbers Avro have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lancaster City 14%.

How many goals will there be in Avro vs Lancaster City?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avro vs Lancaster City?

Our predicted score is Avro 2–1 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Avro vs Lancaster City?

Avro vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.