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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Emley v Lancaster City: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
AFC Emley 35%Draw 21%Lancaster City 44% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.63
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLancaster City to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25

AFC Emley vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Non League Premier Northern brings AFC Emley against Lancaster City. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, AFC Emley are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Lancaster City are 14th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AFC Emley, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Stockton Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Lancaster City, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leek Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lancaster City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for AFC Emley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Emley 1.4 xG, Lancaster City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Emley 35%, draw 21%, Lancaster City 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Emley 1–1 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Emley35%fair 2.84 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Lancaster City44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
3.07Expected goals
1.44AFC Emley xG
1.63Lancaster City xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: AFC Emley 1.4 – 1.6 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLancaster City to win ✗44%2.292.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.50
Draw no betLancaster City (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapAFC Emley +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreLancaster City to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

AFC Emley – last 6

WDLLLL
17 Oct@ Stockton Town3–1W
13 Oct@ United of Manchester1–1D
10 Octvs Gainsborough Trinity1–2L
3 Oct@ Rylands1–4L
29 Sepvs Workington1–3L
26 Sep@ Bootle0–5L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lancaster City – last 6

LWDLWW
17 Octvs Leek Town1–2L
13 Octvs Stockton Town1–0W
10 Oct@ Warrington Town2–2D
7 Oct@ Avro3–5L
3 Octvs Ilkeston Town2–1W
29 Sep@ Whitby Town2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Lancaster City.

AFC Emley vs Lancaster City head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?

On our numbers AFC Emley have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lancaster City 44%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?

Our predicted score is AFC Emley 1–1 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?

AFC Emley vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.