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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Workington v Alfreton Town: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Workington 40%Draw 21%Alfreton Town 39% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.47
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultWorkington to win ✓40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Workington vs Alfreton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Workington welcome Alfreton Town for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Tuesday 10 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Workington are 6th, upper half, on 30 points after 18 matches; Alfreton Town are 11th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Workington, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ashton United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Alfreton Town, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Quorn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Workington 1.5 xG, Alfreton Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Workington 40%, draw 21%, Alfreton Town 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Workington 1–1 Alfreton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Workington40%fair 2.48 · @2.32
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.44
Alfreton Town39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.99Expected goals
1.51Workington xG
1.47Alfreton Town xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Workington 1.5 – 1.5 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWorkington to win ✓40%2.482.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.50
Draw no betWorkington (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapAlfreton Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.241.15
First team to scoreWorkington to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Workington / FT Workington ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Workington – last 6

LWWWLL
7 Novvs Ashton United0–1L
31 Oct@ Bury2–1W
24 Octvs Cleethorpes Town3–2W
17 Oct@ Bamber Bridge2–1W
13 Octvs Whitby Town1–2L
10 Oct@ Quorn0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Alfreton Town – last 6

LWWDDL
6 Nov@ Quorn0–4L
31 Octvs AFC Emley2–1W
24 Oct@ Mickleover Sports2–1W
17 Octvs Warrington Town1–1D
13 Oct@ Ashton United0–0D
10 Octvs Bury2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Workington and Alfreton Town.

Workington vs Alfreton Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Workington vs Alfreton Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Workington vs Alfreton Town?

On our numbers Workington have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfreton Town 39%.

How many goals will there be in Workington vs Alfreton Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Workington vs Alfreton Town?

Our predicted score is Workington 1–1 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Workington vs Alfreton Town?

Workington vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.