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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leek Town v Ilkeston Town: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Leek Town 57%Draw 24%Ilkeston Town 19% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.18
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.52Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeek Town to win ✓57% · @1.68
Double chanceLeek Town or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ilkeston Town travel to face Leek Town on Saturday 7 November in the Non League Premier Northern – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Leek Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Ilkeston Town are 20th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Leek Town, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Guiseley AFC, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Ilkeston Town, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hyde United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 2.1 xG, Ilkeston Town 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 57%, draw 24%, Ilkeston Town 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leek Town or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.52.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 2–1 Ilkeston Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leek Town57%fair 1.74 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.85
Ilkeston Town19%fair 5.27 · @3.74
3.29Expected goals
2.12Leek Town xG
1.18Ilkeston Town xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Leek Town 2.1 – 1.2 Ilkeston Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeek Town to win ✓57%1.741.68
Double chanceLeek Town or draw ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.52
Draw no betLeek Town (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapIlkeston Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.47
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.291.15
First team to scoreLeek Town to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLeek Town ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leek Town / FT Leek Town ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Leek Town – last 6

LLLWWD
3 Nov@ Guiseley AFC1–4L
31 Oct@ Curzon Ashton1–2L
27 Oct@ Bury3–5L
24 Octvs Bootle4–1W
17 Oct@ Lancaster City2–1W
10 Octvs Ashton United2–2D
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ilkeston Town – last 6

WWLLLL
31 Octvs Hyde United1–0W
17 Octvs Avro2–0W
13 Oct@ Gainsborough Trinity1–3L
10 Octvs Redcar Athletic0–5L
6 Octvs Guiseley AFC0–2L
3 Oct@ Lancaster City1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Ilkeston Town.

Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

On our numbers Leek Town have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ilkeston Town 19%.

How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Our predicted score is Leek Town 2–1 Ilkeston Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.